Hi folks- hope you are enjoying the new move to Tuesdays. We’re excited about it, mostly because we still like being on the station after all these years. But since we are on so early in the week, I’ll try and send some updated thoughts in blog form here on the Fantasy Forum page on Fridays during the season. Today you are getting it on Saturday, mostly because of technical difficulties and expired passwords. But we’ll clean it up for next week.
And if Tuesdays are too early in the week for you, feel free to Tweet us @chrislewisxtra and @barrymarkson1.
OK- some fantasy updates.
Arian Foster is a game time decision with a knee injury, though CBS Sports’ Jason LaCanfora reports Foster is on track to play. Obviously, you play him if he is active. Having said that, I love Ben Tate regardless, as this game will be a blowout and Tate will have plenty of touches against the Dolphins.
Adrian Peterson will be a gametime decision as well (questionable). I don’t think you can play him this week unless you absolutely have to. And if you absolutely have to play him in week 1, you really screwed up your draft, didn’t you. I’d play Alfred Morris before Peterson. Heck, I’d play Alfred the Butler before AP.
Ronnie Brown is a decent play with Ryan Mathews being ruled out for week 1. But don’t be surprised if Le’Ron McClain vultures a TD against the Raiders. And if you get messed up by Foster or Lynch getting benched at the last moment, McClain isn’t a bad emergency pickup in that late Monday night game.
I like Ryan Williams this week for the Cardinals. Beanie isn’t all that healthy yet, and we saw so little of Ryan in preseason that I think people will be surprised with what they have.
Is Braylon Edwards on a roster in your league? Look, I don’t love the guy, but he is a starter right now and Russell Wilson could surprise a lot of people…I’d rather have Edwards than some of the #4 or #5 rookie WR’s that some fantasy squads are stretching for. Reuben Randle, AJ Jenkins, possibly even Michael Floyd have shown nothing so far.
Any other questions? I’ll be on Twitter tonight (tweeting live from ASU/Illinois) so send a message and I’ll shoot back an answer tonight.
2012 NFL Predictions:
NFC West: 49ers will win the division, because no one else has improved enough to challenge them. Seattle will be better, and Russell Wilson may end the year as the best QB in the division, but they will lose too many early in the season while they put it together (including Sunday against the Cardinals). Ryan Williams will be a nice surprise for the Cardinals and will carry the offense along with Fitz, but they won’t be able to overcome their really brutal QB play. And you will all find out: John Skelton is not a good NFL QB. Jeff Fisher will turn around the Rams. But not this year.
NFC North: I’m picking the Packers, but I think the Bears will give them a run and also make the playoffs. Aaron Rodgers is too good, and has great depth in the weapons he gets to throw to. The Bears made a great pickup in Brandon Marshall, and as long as he stays on the field he is the most explosive weapon they’ve had in quite a while. As far as the Lions…well…too many off the field issues, too much of a lack of discipline on the field. They still win 9-10 games, but no playoffs. Remember, 5 teams usually miss the playoffs that made it the previous year. It’s hard to do it again. I hear the Vikings are in this division as well…they’ll have another chance at a top 3 pick next year.
NFC South: Division is loaded. The Falcons will win the division. More on them later. Saints are still explosive, but I think losing their coach is just too big a deal, and they will miss the playoffs. Panthers get closer- Cam Newton has a monster 2nd year, team wins 9, still not good enough to make the playoffs. And the Bucs will be much better, but too tough to win in this division.
NFC East: Still picking the Giants to win the division. I just think their organization…the lack of drama with Coughlin, Jerry Reese and ownership, gives them the edge. Great QB, enough weapons and a ridiculous front 7. Dallas and Philly are talented, but their QB’s have not proven they can get it done at big moments, and with Jerry Jones in Dallas and Andy Reid on the hot seat… I still pick the Giants. And the Cowboys will make the playoffs when Michael Vick gets hurt again and Nick Foles finds out that the regular season is, well, different. RG3 will be fun to watch…but they still need more playmakers.
Division winners: SF, Green Bay, Atlanta, Giants. Wild cards: Chicago, Dallas.
AFC West: I’m picking one of my least favorite teams, the Raiders, to win the division. Carson Palmer will turn out to be the better “resurrected” QB, and their defense and running game will get them to 10 wins. Denver and San Diego will be close. I think Philip Rivers has a bounceback year, but I don’t like their defense in key moments. Denver will be a great story, I think they win 9 games, but next year they will be more of a threat. And I actually like the Chiefs…wouldn’t surprise me if they contend as well. I think all 4 teams will be in the race after 12 games…who will step up at the end?
AFC North: Ravens are the champs here. I was having trouble deciding between them and the Steelers…Ray Rice is the deciding factor for me. I like the new hurry-up offense, I think the Joe Flacco will have a good year, and that the defense still has enough to stand up to a tough division. Steelers will be a wild card…worried that key players such as Troy Polamalu are getting old, and they start the year banged up in the backfield and at linebacker. But Big Ben will still get them to the playoffs. Sophomore slump for Andy Dalton? I don’t think so…I just think the other two teams are too good. Trent Richardson will test the theory that a rookie of the year can come from a last place team. He’s a beast, Browns will be better but still not good enough.
AFC South: TEXANS. If they stay healthy, they could be hoisting a trophy off the field in early February. Loaded. But Andre Johnson and Matt Schaub have to stay in the lineup. The young QB’s for the other teams will bring hope to those cities, but not many wins. Only one playoff team here. Remember, Peyton Manning went 3-13 his rookie year. Andrew Luck will be GREAT.
AFC East: Can’t go against the Patriots. Too good. Too well coached. And they have Brady. Buffalo will finish 2nd and win a wild card spot. Welcome back to the playoffs. Love what they have done with their defense, and Ryan Fitzpatrick is smart and talented. I actually want to pick the Jets for last place (remember, I am a huge Jets fan), but I can’t because the Dolphins will be the worst team in football. Jets- too much drama, NO explosive weapons on offense until Stephen Hill learns to catch a football, offensive line overrated. 6 wins? Wide receivers can’t get open, Holmes is a diva, no running backs…bad. Just bad. I think Sanchez would be really good if he had receivers.
Division winners: Raiders, Ravens, Texans and Pats. Wild cards: Pittsburgh, Buffalo.
Super Bowl: Houston over Atlanta, 31-27. Houston is deep, talented and well coached. New blood!
Don’t like them? Tell me your picks at @chrislewisxtra.
And tune in Tuesday night for the Fantasy Forum, 6-8 pm. XTRA910, xtra910.com and I Heart Radio!
-Chris






